Big Fight Betting & Predictions: Floyd ‘Money’ Mayweather vs. ‘Sugar’ Shane Mosley

Floyd Mayweather, USA (40-0, 25 K.O’s) vs. Shane Mosley, USA (46-5-0-1, 39 K.O’s)

MGM Grand, Las Vegas, Nevada. 1st May, 2010.

Note: Although Mosley is the current WBA welterweight champion, the title will not be on the line as Mayweather refused to pay the required sanctioning fees and elected instead not to fight for the belt. It was stipulated as part of the contracts for this fight that it should be referred to and promoted as “Mayweather-Mosley”, and not “Mosley-Mayweather”. It is believed therefore that Mayweather will also enter the ring last and have his name and record announced second in the ring – traditionally roles reserved for the champion.

BETTING:

Despite the fact that this is largely seen as Floyd Mayweather’s toughest fight, and viewed as a very competitive match-up in the boxing business, the bookmakers still have Floyd as a solid favourite.

UK’s Sky Bet are giving odds of 1/4 for Floyd to take the fight outright – meaning for every £4 you bet on Mayweather, your winnings will be a measly £1.

If you fancy backing the underdog Mosley, however, you will find very tempting odds of 3/1 for the fight outright – meaning for every £1 you bet on him you win three.

Analyzing the odds a bit more closely, if you happen to fancy Mosley’s chances in this fight, it could be a very lucrative night for you indeed. Pick the ‘Sugar’ man on points and you will be rewarded with odds of 6/1; by any method inside 12 rounds and you’ll get 15/2.  The big money in this fight can be won if you really put your neck on the line though and call the exact round in which the underdog will win: pick any round from 1-12 and you’ll get a massive 66/1. Quite surprising odds given that Mosley is the proven puncher in the fight, and worth a punt if you ask me.

If you think Mosley is capable of the stoppage though, ‘group rounds’ betting is where the clever money could be won. Pick him to win in either of the following groups – rounds 1-4, rounds 5-8 or rounds 9-12 – and you’ll get excellent odds of 16/1.

The safe money is – not surprisingly given his track record – on Mayweather to take a decision after 12 rounds. Choose this outcome, and you’ll get odds of 1/2. Choose Mayweather inside the distance, and you’ll get a much more appealing 10/3.

The under/over rounds betting for tonight’s fight is listed at: Under 10 rounds 21/10; Over 10 rounds 1/3. The bookmakers clearly echoing the general consensus that this will be a long fight, probably decided on points.

Boxing Philosophy Fantasy League Predictions:

M.O.Boxer: “My heart says Mosley, but my head says Mayweather. Even though I really like Mosley’s chances of pulling off the upset, I’ve picked against Floyd before and he’s always proved me wrong, so I’m going to go with my head over my heart on this one and say that Floyd will win a decision, probably winning about 8 of the 12 rounds”. Mayweather, Points (over 10).

‘Boom Boom’ Brown: “I’d love Mr Mosley to win this fight because I can’t stand Mayweather… but my head says Floyd on points by a unanimous decision.” Mayweather, Points (over 10).

H. Grenyer: “‘Money’ too quick, too good, too slick.” Mayweather, Points (over 10).

‘Ferocious’ Joe: “Going with my heart on this one but still feel its right. Mosley is not a small, slow, no movement guy. This is a test, make no mistake. He’s going to  come here as the underdog but with the tools to pull it off. It depends on whether Mayweather is as good as he says or shows a true fighter lays inside. Whatever the result it will be a classic”. Mosley, Stoppage, Over 10.

‘Gavster’: “Even as I type this I am unsure what to go with; my head, or my heart. I’ll go with my heart.” Mosley, Points (over 10)

J. Tasker: Mayweather, TKO, Over 10.

Andy Cathy: Mayweather, Points (over 10).

Big Fight Predictions: Carl Froch vs Mikkel Kessler

Saturday 24th April 2010, Herning, Denmark

WBC Super Middleweight World Championship/Super Six World Boxing Classic (second round)

Carl Froch, UK (26-0, 20 K.O’s) vs Mikkel Kessler, Denmark (42-2, 32 K.O’s)

The Under/Over rounds for this fight will be 9 rounds.

Predictions:

M.O.Boxer: Kessler, points (over 9).

‘Boom Boom’ Brown: Kessler, points (over 9).

H. Grenyer: Kessler, points (over 9).

Gavster: Kessler, points (over 9).

‘Ferocious’ Joe: Kessler, points (over 9).

John Tasker: Kessler, points (over 9).

Andy Cathy: Froch, points (over 9).

Big Fight Predictions: Kelly Pavlik vs Sergio Martinez

World Middleweight Title

Kelly Pavlik, USA (36-1) vs Sergio Martinez, Argentina (44-2-2)

The under/over rounds betting for this fight is 10 rounds.

Predictions:

Moboxer: Martinez, points (over 10).

‘Boom Boom’ Brown: Pavlik, K.O, under 10.

Gavster: Pavlik, points (over 10).

Andy Cathy: Pavlik, over 10.

Hugo Grenyer: Pavlik, over 10.

John Tasker: Martinez, points (over 10).

Big Fight Predictions: Haye vs Ruiz & Hopkins vs Jones II

This weekend sees action both sides of the Atlantic with a potential TWELVE points up for grabs in the Boxing-Philosophy Fantasy League. That translates to potentially a massive swing in the table, so anyone could end up top of the league by the end of the weekend’s proceedings.

First up in Manchester, England, David Haye defends his WBA heavyweight championship of the world for the first time against tough and tested American John Ruiz. The under/over rounds betting for this fight will be eight (8) rounds.

Then over in the good ‘ol U.S of A Bernard Hopkins will meet Roy Jones Junior for the OAP championship of the world. The fight will be a rematch of their IBF middleweight title fight in 1993, in which Jones won an easy unanimous decision. The fight will also break numerous Guinness world records, including: the longest time between a fight and a rematch; the oldest combined age for any two fighters anywhere in the history of the universe; and least public demand ever for a boxing match.

My personal favourites though are the records attempting to be broken by the promoters: (1) how many stupid Americans will pay $50 for a diabolical PPV card in one night? (2) how many free tickets is it possible to give away before a PPV fight?

The match is an intriguing clash of styles, basically boiling down to which you prefer: the walking stick or the zimmer frame? It should be fascinating. The local boxing commission has also agreed to waive any pre- or post-fight drugs tests, on the basis that both men will need to take their respective prescription medication before and after the bout. The under/over rounds betting for this fight will be ten (10) rounds. As in, do you think you can stay awake for at least 10 rounds?

Check back on the blog for a full (Haye-Ruiz) Big Fight Preview.

Send your predictions to moboxer@gmail.com, or leave them as a comment on this page.

Predictions:

M.O.Boxer: (1) Haye, K.O, under 8. (2) Hopkins, unanimous points, (over 10).

‘Boom Boom’ Brown:(1) Haye, K.O, under 8. (2) Hopkins, stoppage, over 10.

Ferocious Joe: (1) Haye, K.O, under 8. (2) Hopkins, K.O/stoppage, under 10.

H. Grenyer: (1) Haye, K.O, over 8. (2) Hopkins, stoppage, over 10.

John Tasker: (1) Haye, K.O, under 8. (2) Hopkins, stoppage, under 10.

Gavster: (1) Haye, K.O, under 8. (2) Jones, split-points, (over 10).

Andy Cathy: (1) Haye, points, (over 8). (2) Hopkins, K.O, under 10.

Big Fight Predictions: Abraham vs Dirrell

The second round of Showtime TV’s fabulous Super Six World Boxing Classic tournament begins Saturday 27th March at the Joe Louis Arena, Detroit, USA.

Tournament leader Arthur Abraham (31-0, 25 K.O’s) takes on American Andre Dirrell (18-1, 13 K.O’s) in what promises to be a fascinating match-up of contrasting skills. (Read the Big Fight Preview, below).

The Under/Over rounds betting for this fight will be ten (10) rounds.

Please email your predictions to moboxer@gmail.com or add them as a comment to this page.

Predictions:

M.O.Boxer: Dirrell to win a unanimous decision (over 10).

‘Boom Boom’ Brown: Abraham to win on points (over 10).

Gavster: Dirrell on points (over 10).

Andy Cathy: Dirrell on points (over 10).

H. Grenyer: Abraham, points (over 10)

John Tasker: Abraham, K.O, Under 10.